Predictions under Uncertainty|
Fish Assemblage and Food Webs on the Grand Banks of Newfoundland
Manuel do Carmo Gomes
Gomes, a biologist, draws on a study of commercial fish assemblages on the Grand Bank of
Newfoundland to illustrate how uncertainty about the structure of ecological models confounds
attempts to predict community dynamics over time; and concludes that new, adaptive management
strategies may be needed to deal with this inherent uncertainty.
"This book then, does not give definitive answers; but it is a most valuable work for all that.
For scientists and those fully initiated into the statistical mysteries it addresses a number
of perennially thorny questions in a fresh and incisive fashion; for fisheries managers it is
a valuable reminder of the healthy scepticism with which all existing mathematical models of
ecosystem dynamics should be treated; for the general reader, it offers a fascinating glimpse
into the fantastically intricate interactions of numerous species of marine life forms inhabiting
the Grand Bank of Newfoundland."--The Northern Mariner, 1994