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Predictions under Uncertainty Predictions under Uncertainty
Fish Assemblage and Food Webs on the Grand Banks of Newfoundland
Manuel do Carmo Gomes
Price: CDN$44.95
Gomes, a biologist, draws on a study of commercial fish assemblages on the Grand Bank of Newfoundland to illustrate how uncertainty about the structure of ecological models confounds attempts to predict community dynamics over time; and concludes that new, adaptive management strategies may be needed to deal with this inherent uncertainty.

"This book then, does not give definitive answers; but it is a most valuable work for all that. For scientists and those fully initiated into the statistical mysteries it addresses a number of perennially thorny questions in a fresh and incisive fashion; for fisheries managers it is a valuable reminder of the healthy scepticism with which all existing mathematical models of ecosystem dynamics should be treated; for the general reader, it offers a fascinating glimpse into the fantastically intricate interactions of numerous species of marine life forms inhabiting the Grand Bank of Newfoundland."--The Northern Mariner, 1994

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